2024 Elections: Competitive Races

Crimson Goes Blue is working around the clock for a fierce 2024 election season. Biden’s reelection is priority #1, supporting him directly and via support for other Democrats. After carefully researching upcoming Senate, House, and state elections, we’ve compiled a list of races where our members can use their time, money, and energy most effectively.  We’ll let you know about our virtual and in-person activities to support the races in these states.

Click here to jump to our list of competitive Senate, House, and state legislative races

How we decide which races to target

• To make the best use of your time and funds, we avoid races that Democrats are likely to win or lose. Instead, we choose competitive races -- where there’s a good chance of affecting the outcome.

• We also select states with competitive races in both the House and Senate, and states that are likely to affect the presidential election.

• In the Senate:  We’re focusing on six of the most competitive races.

• In the House: Out of 435 races, 43 are competitive. We’ve chosen 25. (With new candidates, primary results, and voter map changes, our priorities may shift.)

• We target races in areas where our members live.

Look below for the breakdown of competitive U.S. Senate and House races, and state legislatures.

Support for North Carolina’s Don Davis is critical for Democrats to take back the House in 2024.

The big picture…

PRESIDENCY: Biden’s reelection is by far the most important race for the future of democracy in America. It will be very close and will depend on wins in our target states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).

U.S. HOUSE: The Democrats are poised for a highly competitive race to take back the House in 2024. In order to win back the majority, we only need to flip five seats back. Races in New York and California will be crucial.

U.S. SENATE: Democrats currently hold a slim 51-seat majority in the Senate – and holding on to our majority will take everything we’ve got. We’re targeting six of the seven most competitive seats (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin). Biden won all of these states, except for Ohio.

STATE LEGISLATURES: Crimson Goes Blue has identified five states where Democratic victories can tip the balance of power. In three states (AZ, NH, PA), Democrats have the opportunity to gain control of a chamber, and in two states (NC, WI), we have the opportunity to hold onto a veto-proof margin of seats which empowers the Democratic Governor to veto the worst laws passed by Republican legislatures.

Pennsylvania’s Bob Casey is a must-win for Democrats to keep control of the Senate.